(TargetLiberty.org) – The United States appears to be heading towards a 2024 presidential election that may feature a rematch between President Biden and former President Trump, a scenario seemingly unpopular among many Americans.
President Biden, despite facing ongoing scrutiny over his age and concerns about his fitness for another term, may run for re-election. He would be 86 years old at the end of a second term, and his approval ratings have been consistently below 40 percent over the past year.
On the other hand, Trump, known for his controversial remarks and divisive politics since his 2016 campaign, is also a potential candidate. His legal challenges and the turmoil of his previous term in office have left many voters reluctant to see him on the ballot again. Democrats particularly view him as a threat to democratic principles.
Polls indicate a significant portion of the country is not in favor of this potential rematch. Grant Reeher, Director of the Campbell Public Affairs Institute at Syracuse University, suggests this sentiment is due to the notable drawbacks of both candidates. He notes that independents, Democrats, and Republicans show strong opposition to the opposing party’s potential candidate, reflecting the deep polarization within the country.
Surveys like the Associated Press/NORC poll reveal widespread dissatisfaction with both Biden and Trump as nominees. Even within their parties, a significant number of Democrats and Republicans express dissatisfaction with their potential candidacies.
Despite this, Biden and Trump remain the likely nominees for their respective parties. Alex Conant, a former aide in Senator Marco Rubio’s 2016 presidential campaign, points out that voters often seek more choices, but the power of incumbency remains strong.
While most Democrats support Biden’s re-election, Rep. Dean Phillips (D-Minn.) has announced his candidacy, citing concerns about Biden’s age. In contrast, Trump leads the Republican primary by a significant margin, evident in various national polls and state-specific surveys.
Trump’s legal challenges, including over 90 criminal charges, don’t seem to deter Republican voters; a New York Times/Siena College poll found that a majority would support him even if convicted of a federal crime.
Amidst these dynamics, there’s speculation about an independent candidate entering the race. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has expressed interest in running independently, but his ballot access remains uncertain. No Labels, a centrist movement, is also exploring a “unity ticket” option and has qualified for ballot access in several states. They believe there is a viable path for an independent candidate in the current political climate.
No Labels plans to decide their course of action after Super Tuesday in March, based on whether the Trump vs. Biden match-up materializes. While some critics argue that an independent candidacy might inadvertently help Trump, No Labels believes there’s unprecedented potential for a third-party candidate to make a significant impact in the upcoming election.
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