Trump’s Real Chance Of Winning 2024 Finally Revealed

Gage Skidmore from Peoria, AZ, United States of America, CC BY-SA 2.0 , via Wikimedia Commons

( – Niall Ferguson, historian, and Hoover Institution senior fellow has argued that former President Donald Trump is not just a strong candidate but rather he is likely the candidate who is going to win the White House in 2024.

In an op-ed published in The Spectator, Ferguson stated that in his view Trump winning a second term was not just a possibility but rather it was his “base case.” He proceeded to explain that the attempts to use Trump’s legal troubles to stop him from winning back the White House were widely unsuccessful because Trump thrives on media coverage.

As he argued, all of the media attention given to these cases mean that Trump is getting publicity for free. Last week, Trump was found liable for sexual abuse against writer E. Jean Carroll, however, the jury did not find him guilty of rape. Aside from the verdict, every single magazine was focusing on Trump giving him a lot of “airtime” over his Republican rivals.

Ferguson proceeded to argue that Trump is currently the clear frontrunner, with a Fox News survey in April placing him in first place with a 53 percent lead beating Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis by 32 points.

DeSantis, who is widely considered the most likely challenger for Trump, might have managed to win some supporters within the Republican base, and yet there is still no guarantee that he would be able to win.

Ferguson added that historically the GOP frontrunner tends to win the GOP primary, which would be good for Trump.

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