Analysts Predict a Republican Takeover in the 2022 Midterms

Analysts Predict a Republican Takeover in the 2022 Midterms

Bombshell Drops Before Election Day — GOP “TAKEOVER” Report

( – Traditionally, the party in the White House loses seats in the midterm election. President Joe Biden learned that the hard way when he served eight years as former POTUS Barack Obama’s vice president. In the 2010 midterms, Democrats lost control of the House of Representatives and four years later, during the 2014 midterms, they lost their majority in the Senate.

As November draws nearer, and voters prepare to cast their ballots, analysts are predicting Biden’s party might lose control of both the House and the Senate at the same time.

The House

Republicans only need to net five seats in the 2022 midterms in order to take back the House after the Democratic Party’s dismal performance in 2020. Conservatives already flipped a House seat in South Texas when Mayra Flores won a special election earlier this month, if she can hold the seat, the GOP will only need four more. On Wednesday, June 22, The University of Virginia Center for Politics updated its predictions for the midterms and shifted its expected outcomes on three seats.

  • Rep. Jennifer Wexton’s (D-VA) seat went from being a “safe Democrat” to “Likely Democrat;
  • Alaska’s Special Election to fill the late Rep. Don Young’s (R) seat moved from “likely Republican” to “Safe Republican”; and
  • Rep. Michelle Steel’s (R) seat shifted from “Toss-up” to “Leans Republican.”

Currently, the Center estimates there are 185 seats considered “safe” for the Republicans. Additionally, the GOP predicts there are a total of 215 seats that are either “Safe, Likely or Leans” Right. The Republican Party only needs a total of 218 seats to take the majority back from Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi (D-CA).

The Cook Political Report also favors Republicans to take back the majority in the House. According to its analysts at the time of writing, the GOP had 188 solid seats and 21 likely/lean seats. They also think 23 current Democratic-held seats are toss-ups.

The Senate

The Democratic majority in the Senate is even more tenuous than in the House. The chamber is evenly split, with 48 Liberals and 2 Independents who vote with the Left. Currently, Vice President Kamala Harris is the tie-breaker. All the GOP needs to do is win one seat to take control of the chamber and stop President Joe Biden’s agenda.

The website, 270toWin predicts there are five toss-up Senate seats in the upcoming election. That gives the GOP a lot of room to win. The Center for Politics believes four seats are a toss-up including Georgia, Arizona, Nevada, and Pennsylvania.

While pollsters can make predictions, there’s one thing everyone has learned over the last few years: elections are unpredictable. November is going to be a nail-biter for sure.

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